Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.576481 16.464954 18.520160 20.925299 23.665855 26.694902 30.301490
2025-02-16 10.969706 13.370761 16.201709 19.795540 24.250468 29.609574 36.572533
2025-02-23 8.807875 11.422756 14.714719 19.184611 25.128825 32.807850 43.554162
2025-03-02 7.370972 10.069485 13.659415 18.820198 26.107984 36.118926 51.062845
2025-03-09 6.398436 9.142844 12.972787 18.760085 27.375752 39.871805 59.631428
2025-03-16 5.634899 8.376448 12.367289 18.670483 28.506920 43.486879 68.440557
2025-03-23 5.206601 8.027097 12.296215 19.322077 30.779977 49.048008 81.015918
2025-03-30 4.720080 7.517656 11.902512 19.390820 32.098742 53.221330 91.886865
2025-04-06 4.211243 6.906077 11.264718 18.961470 32.503882 55.885179 100.490404
2025-04-13 3.801024 6.405013 10.741854 18.643638 33.027061 58.766723 109.833192
2025-04-20 3.587300 6.209040 10.703648 19.151293 35.057486 64.561463 125.448189
2025-04-27 3.413425 6.060895 10.726767 19.761406 37.335797 71.083258 143.442916
2025-05-04 3.179487 5.788757 10.513950 19.936394 38.865928 76.490009 160.305975
2025-05-11 2.890618 5.386203 10.020727 19.518493 39.182437 79.548554 172.768715
2025-05-18 2.646070 5.041768 9.600132 19.192304 39.640844 82.959493 186.587009
2025-05-25 2.437621 4.745303 9.240093 18.943478 40.223849 86.706400 201.800289
2025-06-01 2.276468 4.525687 9.008290 18.932068 41.313636 91.707774 220.840346
2025-06-08 2.125584 4.311311 8.763979 18.862349 42.259339 96.505662 240.208237
2025-06-15 2.056574 4.259387 8.850760 19.530218 44.983270 105.846507 272.852177
2025-06-22 1.940966 4.096755 8.684429 19.603638 46.308944 111.998343 298.179046
2025-06-29 1.794866 3.853864 8.318888 19.170881 46.344328 114.937188 315.216003
2025-07-06 1.671125 3.648497 8.015941 18.849981 46.611605 118.493160 334.620972
2025-07-13 1.617772 3.596495 8.054964 19.363920 49.082283 128.204017 373.903452